Pure Hedge - Livestock and Grain

6/12/25
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The Livestock Markets were mixed again today, with the Hogs continuing higher. The Fats dropped a buck today. August'25 Live Cattle were 1.07 ½ lower today and settled at 216.95. Today's high was 218.77 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 220.05. Today's low was 216.72 ½ and the 1-month low is 205.32 ½. Since 5/12 August'25 Live Cattle are 5.42 ½ higher or about 2 ½ %. The August'25 Feeders had a slight gain today. August'25 Feeder Cattle were 17 ½ cents higher today and settled at 311.25. Today's high was 311.80 and the 1-month and contract high are 314.20. Today's low was 309.30 and the 1-month low is 293.05. Since 5/12 August'25 Feeder Cattle are 4.65 higher or about 1 ½%. The Hogs had another gain today. July'25 Hogs were 5 cents higher today and settled at 108.90. Today's high was 109.62 ½ and that is the new 1-month and contract high. Today's low was 108.57 ½ and the 1-month low is 100.75. Since 5/12 July'25 Lean Hogs are 6.35 higher or more than 6%. The Cattle Markets were split again today with the Fats losing more than another dollar today and settling just 22 ½ cents off the low. I still think we can see a modest 10% break in the market, and if that were to happen, it would put the price of the August'25 Fats at 198. The 100-Day moving average just happens to be 199.87, but I still like the market about 10-dollar lower from there at 190. The Feeders were lower in all contract months except for the lead month, August'25 that managed to settle 17 ½ cents higher on the day. The August'25 Feeders were almost 2-bucks lower at one point but crawled back up through the day. The back months were down over two dollars on the lows, with the January'26 contract month trading below the 300.00 level. I still see eager selling in the Feeders, and when it turns it will be like nothing you have ever seen before. If the August'25 Feeders break 10% off the contract high, it would put the price at 282.78. The 100-Day moving average in the August'25 Feeders is 286.94, and I still like the market much lower than that. There are still 77 Days left before the August'25 Feeder Options Expire on 8/28/25. The Options on the November'25 Feeders Expire in 161 Days, on 11/20/25. The Hogs stayed in the green today, but not by much. The July'25 Hogs made a new contract high today of 109.62 ½ and closed 72 ½ cents below that new high. I feel we can see the Hogs start to head south soon, with all of the major moving averages about 9-dollars lower around the 100.00 level. If Iran gets bombed it could send the stock markets lower and could be the thing that starts the liquidation process in the Cattle Markets. I spoke to a gentleman today who said he is going to start retaining heifers, and the end of this month is the end of the second quarter of the year as well. The November'25 Feeder Cattle Trades are still shown below.
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I see two big trades for this year. I still like the Soybean Oil and the Natural Gas. These markets will correct. Take advantage of any pullbacks in these markets. NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT. If you hit the link and provide your information, you will have a wealth of Market information at your fingertips. Sign Up Now
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The Grain Markets were mixed again today, with only the Corn closing positive. The Beans fell apart after the WASDE Report was released today. July'25 Soybeans were 8 ¼ cents lower today and settled at 1042 ¼. Today's high was 1056 ¼ and the 1-month high is 1082. Today's low was 1038 ½ and the 1-month low is 1032 ½. Since 5/12 July'25 Soybeans are 29 cents lower or almost 3%. The Corn Market could be the Grain the stay long. July'25 Corn was 1 ½ cents higher today and settled at 438 ½. Today's high was 441 ¾ and the 1-month high is 464 ¾. Today's low was 435 ¼ and the 1-month low is 429 ¼. Since 5/12 July'25 Corn is 9 ½ cents lower or more than 2%. The Wheat Market traded lower today. July'25 Wheat was 7 ¾ cents lower today and settled at 526 ½. Today's high was 537 and the 1-month high is 557 ¾. Today's low was 526 and the 1-month and contract low are 506 ¼. Since 5/12 July'25 Wheat is 11 ¼ cents higher or more than 2%. The WASDE Report was released today, and it did not help the Soybean or Wheat Markets. We will see what happens moving forward, but it looks like the July contract months could be done. There is still the big acreage Report at the end of the month on the 30th. We could see a drop in Corn acres with the amount of rain that fell in the South and Southeast Corn Belt. That could possibly shift acreage to the Beans as well. The Wheat has a chance to rally if anything big happens in the world, and it sounds like there is a chance of that again soon. The July'25 Beans traded to within 6 cents of the 1-month low but managed to trade higher off the bottom. The July'25 Corn also traded to within 6 cents of the 1-month low but was able to catch a bid and closed higher on the day. The July'25 Wheat closed ½ of a cent off the low and did not look great. The July'25 Contract months look like they are done, as they expire next Friday on the 20th. I would recommend buying the August'25 or September'25 contract months moving forward. I have two new OTC Market Trades in December'25 Corn, if you are a Producer. If you are interested in seeing them, just ask and I will email them to you. Have a great night.
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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM Sign Up Now
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November'25 Feeder Cattle Trades/Hedges From 6/10/25 Below
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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.
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August'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.
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September'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below.
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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it.
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Give me a call if you have any questions.
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Bill Allen
Vice President
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312-957-8079
WALSH TRADING INC.
311 South Wacker Drive
Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606
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